Portland Timbers 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒05:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.1pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.59/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.31
+25% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 83%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.3 Crosses 17.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.74 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
394 Passes 395
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABDK
04.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-1 HT 3-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
20.06.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
16.05.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-2 HT 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
21.09.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
23.07.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
1-1
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
0.83 xG 2.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
429 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Portland Timbers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 62% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 38%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.83 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.50 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Portland Timbers 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 44%, draw 24%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
14 Jun 2025
23:30 St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis →