San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.85
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.81
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
13%
5.27
X/2
12%
6.91
X/X
10%
6.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.45
2/2
19%
4.09
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.58/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.94
-8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 83%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.1 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.29 xG 1.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
387 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-2 HT 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
21.09.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
23.07.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes CONLK
18.06.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
24.07.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
19.05.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 HT 2-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1-2
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.43 xG 2.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
418 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 19
36 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Portland Timbers edged past San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 away from home in the USA - Major League on 20 Jun 2024. Half-time: 0-1.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 55% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 45%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.43 to 2.16.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.00 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?

San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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