Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Portland Timbers v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Portland Timbers 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers took care of San Jose Earthquakes 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Portland Timbers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 63% to 37% in Portland Timbers's favour, shots finished 23-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Portland Timbers against 0.83 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Result & Final Score
Portland Timbers 4 - 2 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 45%, draw 26%, San Jose Earthquakes 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.