San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
CONLK
0-0
HT 0-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 4-1 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes ran out comfortable winners over Portland Timbers 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; San Jose Earthquakes found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 44% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 56%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.22 to 1.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.00 for Portland Timbers.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
San Jose Earthquakes 4-1 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 40%, draw 25%, Portland Timbers 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.