Birmingham Legion 1-2 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Jun 2026

📅14/06/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 31%
-24% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +2%
1.41/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.57
-26% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.5 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 1.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
340 Passes 405
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-3 HT 0-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
09.07.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-3 HT 0-2 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
19.05.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
1-2
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.70 xG 1.84
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
406 Passes 338
29 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Las Vegas Lights edged past Birmingham Legion 2-1 away from home in the USL Championship on 14 Jun 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.70 to 1.84.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights lead the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Birmingham Legion and 2.00 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?

Birmingham Legion 1-2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 50%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham Legion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
14 Jun 2026
01:00 Loudoun United vs Rhode Island Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven Analysis →
02:00 Lexington vs San Antonio Analysis →
02:30 Charleston Battery vs FC Tulsa Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Analysis →
03:00 Louisville City vs Brooklyn Analysis →