Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
0-2
HT 0-2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Hartford Athletic
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-1 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Hartford Athletic squeezed past Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tampa Bay Rowdies at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 2.72 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tampa Bay Rowdies.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.83 for Hartford Athletic.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-1 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 65%, draw 20%, Hartford Athletic 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5 went the other way.