Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
0-2
HT 0-2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Hartford Athletic
USLP
2-3
HT 0-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-2 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies edged past Hartford Athletic 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 42% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 58%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.56 to 1.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hartford Athletic.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.83 for Hartford Athletic.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-2 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 49%, draw 19%, Hartford Athletic 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.