Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-2 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies found just enough to beat Hartford Athletic 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) landed.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 42% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 58%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.56 to 1.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hartford Athletic.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.83 for Hartford Athletic.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Result & Final Score
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3 - 2 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 42%, draw 25%, Hartford Athletic 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.