Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Loudoun United
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Loudoun United
USLP
Indy Eleven 2-1 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven squeezed past Loudoun United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 36% — and on the day Indy Eleven made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 32% of the ball to Loudoun United's 68%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.46 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.00 for Loudoun United.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
Indy Eleven 2-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 41%, draw 22%, Loudoun United 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.