Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Phoenix Rising v San Antonio — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Phoenix Rising 1-0 San Antonio — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising found just enough to beat San Antonio 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: San Antonio saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 1.32 to 0.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Phoenix Rising against 1.00 for San Antonio.
Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio Result & Final Score
Phoenix Rising 1 - 0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 46%, draw 27%, San Antonio 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.