Phoenix Rising 1-0 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -3%
1.45/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.14
+29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
16.0 Crosses 17.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phoenix Rising
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Antonio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
234 Passes 258
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 San Antonio San Antonio 1-2 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
22.09.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 4-0 HT 2-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
07.07.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 2-1 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
06.08.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-2 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
23.04.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
08.05.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 3-0 HT 2-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
1-0
AWAY San Antonio
1.32 xG 0.14
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
261 Passes 429
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phoenix Rising edged past San Antonio 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 39% of the ball to San Antonio's 61%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 1.32 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.00 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?

Phoenix Rising 1-0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 43%, draw 27%, San Antonio 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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