Colorado Springs 1-0 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.49
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+3.7pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.0pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.64/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.64
-5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.5 Crosses 13.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
297 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
17.11.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
27.07.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
19.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-3 HT 2-2 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
08.10.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
18.06.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-0
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.85 xG 0.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
291 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs squeezed past Las Vegas Lights 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 48% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 52%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.85 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colorado Springs's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights?

Colorado Springs 1-0 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 66%, draw 17%, Las Vegas Lights 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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