Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Jun 2026

📅14/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
1.48/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.47
-22% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
24.4 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 286
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
12.10.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
15.06.2025 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
01.09.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
02.06.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-2 HT 0-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
27.07.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-3 HT 0-2 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-0
AWAY Indy Eleven
0.89 xG 0.61
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
387 Passes 221
26 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds nicked a narrow win over Indy Eleven 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.50 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 48%, draw 24%, Indy Eleven 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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