Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Indy Eleven
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
Indy Eleven 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven and Pittsburgh Riverhounds shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Indy Eleven at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 34% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 66%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 2.00 to 1.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.00 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Indy Eleven 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 41%, draw 28%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Indy Eleven), BTTS No went the other way.