Colorado Springs 1-1 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.49/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.48
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.3 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lexington
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.97 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
312 Passes 306
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
02.08.2025 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 3-1 HT 2-0 Lexington Lexington USLP
21.06.2025 Lexington Lexington 2-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-1
AWAY Lexington
1.96 xG 1.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
320 Passes 246
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs and Lexington couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 55% of the ball to Lexington's 45%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.96 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.50 for Lexington.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Lexington?

Colorado Springs 1-1 Lexington in the USL Championship on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 48%, draw 25%, Lexington 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colorado Springs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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