El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Paso Locomotive v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
2-1
HT 2-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
El Paso Locomotive 3-2 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
El Paso Locomotive edged past Las Vegas Lights 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had El Paso Locomotive as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 43% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 57%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.54 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 0.83 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
El Paso Locomotive 3-2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 45%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Paso Locomotive), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.