Loudoun United 2-2 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.44/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.40
+17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.5 Crosses 14.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
09.03.2025 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-3 HT 1-2 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
15.09.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 4-2 HT 0-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
08.04.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 3-1 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
22.06.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
16.04.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-0 HT 2-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
2-2
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.25 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 375
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United and Birmingham Legion shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Loudoun United had 50% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 50%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.25 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Loudoun United and 1.50 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion?

Loudoun United 2-2 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 40%, draw 24%, Birmingham Legion 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Loudoun United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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