Lexington 2-0 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Jun 2026

📅14/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.5pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.52/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.34
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.0 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lexington
1W-0D-2L
AWAY San Antonio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.52 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
314 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2026 San Antonio San Antonio 2-0 HT 1-0 Lexington Lexington USLP
17.08.2025 San Antonio San Antonio 0-1 HT 0-1 Lexington Lexington USLP
30.03.2025 Lexington Lexington 2-3 HT 2-2 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
2-0
AWAY San Antonio
1.52 xG 0.13
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 6
389 Passes 408
14 Box Touches 4
6 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lexington vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington got the better of San Antonio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lexington as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.52 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lexington and 1.67 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Lexington vs San Antonio?

Lexington 2-0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lexington 53%, draw 20%, San Antonio 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lexington) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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