San Antonio 2-0 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.14/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.51
-8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.1 Crosses 15.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lexington
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.02 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
314 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 San Antonio San Antonio 0-1 HT 0-1 Lexington Lexington USLP
30.03.2025 Lexington Lexington 2-3 HT 2-2 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
2-0
AWAY Lexington
1.32 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
302 Passes 327
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio beat Lexington 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; San Antonio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, San Antonio had 48% of the ball to Lexington's 52%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.32 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Antonio and 1.50 for Lexington.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Lexington?

San Antonio 2-0 Lexington in the USL Championship on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 37%, draw 32%, Lexington 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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