Farense U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Aug 2025

📅14/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.44
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 5-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
21.01.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-2 HT 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
10.12.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 0-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
10.10.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
11.03.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
24.01.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 6-1 HT 2-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
1-3
AWAY Santa Clara U23
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 got the better of Farense U23 3-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Farense U23 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Farense U23 had 64% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 36%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Farense U23 and 1.50 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Farense U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 57%, draw 22%, Santa Clara U23 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farense U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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