Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Aug 2026

Holstein Kiel
vs
St. Pauli
📅14/08/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2026/2027

Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Holstein Kiel v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel
0W-1D-5L
AWAY St. Pauli
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.19 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
399 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2025 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli HAZ
12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
29.11.2024 St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-1 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL1
23.02.2024 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-4 HT 0-3 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
17.09.2023 St. Pauli St. Pauli 5-1 HT 3-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
19.05.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-4 HT 1-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
COMMENT Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Holstein Kiel and 3.17 for St. Pauli.

When do Holstein Kiel and St. Pauli play?

Holstein Kiel play St. Pauli in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/08/2026, kick-off 19:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli?

Our model's prediction for Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli is a Holstein Kiel win at about 44% probability, priced 2.25 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Holstein Kiel 44%, draw 27%, St. Pauli 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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