Roda vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roda v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roda 2-1 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
Roda squeezed past Helmond Sport 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.82, roughly 55%.
Under the surface, possession split 61% to 39% in Roda's favour, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 2.76 to 0.23 — on chances created, Roda won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Roda against 1.67 for Helmond Sport.
Roda vs Helmond Sport Result & Final Score
Roda 2 - 1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roda vs Helmond Sport Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Roda 60%, draw 24%, Helmond Sport 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.