Roda 1-1 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Mar 2026

Roda
1-1 HT 1-1
Helmond Sport
📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Roda vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
20%
4.12
X/2
4%
11.35
X/X
6%
6.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.2
2/2
10%
8.72
2/X
5%
16.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.5pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roda v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.76/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.57
-17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.3 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Roda vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.67 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-3 HT 0-2 Roda Roda HOL2
11.03.2025 Roda Roda 3-2 HT 1-2 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
21.10.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
23.12.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-3 HT 2-1 Roda Roda HOL2
11.08.2023 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 2-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
10.02.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2

Roda 1-1 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
1-1
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.86 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 10
373 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roda vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda and Helmond Sport couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Roda carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roda had 54% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 46%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.86 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Roda and 1.67 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Roda vs Helmond Sport?

Roda 1-1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Roda 61%, draw 19%, Helmond Sport 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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