Ajax II 0-2 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.96
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.39
No
30%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.66
2-3 Goals
34%
2.13
4-5 Goals
30%
2.33
6+ Goals
19%
4.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
17.5
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
12%
9.66
X/2
18%
4.71
X/X
10%
7.27
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
19%
2.07
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 17.5 — our 11% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.7pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.1pp
70%
BTTS Yes
68%
+1.8pp
30%
BTTS No
32%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 60%
+11% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.17/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.49
+21% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
9.6 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Almere City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.67 xG 1.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
402 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2025 Almere City Almere City 3-2 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
17.03.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 0-2 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
14.10.2022 Almere City Almere City 2-3 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
21.02.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 1-3 HT 1-2 Almere City Almere City HOL2
17.09.2021 Almere City Almere City 2-4 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
30.04.2021 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-2
AWAY Almere City
1.25 xG 1.56
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
536 Passes 252
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 10
FAQ Ajax II vs Almere City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Almere City beat Ajax II 2-0 away from home in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20 Mar 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 68% and both teams to score was favoured at 70%.

On the day, Ajax II had 65% of the ball to Almere City's 35%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.25 to 1.56.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ajax II and 2.17 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Almere City?

Ajax II 0-2 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 31%, draw 21%, Almere City 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almere City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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