PSV II 0-2 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.46
6+ Goals
15%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.59
1/2
9%
21.8
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.31
X/2
11%
5.84
X/X
10%
6.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.1
2/2
18%
3.19
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.5pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.46/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.56
+17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
14.3 Crosses 23.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Vitesse
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.69 xG 2.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
314 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 34
6 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 3-1 HT 2-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
20.12.2024 PSV II PSV II 6-4 HT 3-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
25.10.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 1-3 HT 1-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
0-2
AWAY Vitesse
0.74 xG 1.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
444 Passes 290
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ PSV II vs Vitesse
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Vitesse beat PSV II 2-0 away from home in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20 Mar 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was favoured at 64%.

On the day, PSV II had 58% of the ball to Vitesse's 42%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.74 to 1.29.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSV II have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for PSV II and 2.67 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Vitesse?

PSV II 0-2 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split PSV II 38%, draw 24%, Vitesse 38%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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