Cambuur 3-4 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.76
2-3 Goals
38%
2.15
4-5 Goals
28%
2.33
6+ Goals
14%
4.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.77
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.0
X/1
20%
4.39
X/2
8%
12.05
X/X
8%
7.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
17.1
2/2
10%
8.11
2/X
6%
16.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.1 — our 9% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.8pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +19%
1.84/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.64
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.7 Crosses 9.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
3W-0D-3L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
339 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
20.12.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
01.11.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
15.03.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
15.12.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
23.04.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-4 HT 0-4 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
3-4
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
2.18 xG 1.22
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
474 Passes 153
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 9
37 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

AZ Alkmaar II edged past Cambuur 4-3 away from home in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20 Mar 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was favoured at 62%.

On the day, Cambuur had 71% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 29%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.18 to 1.22.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cambuur and 1.67 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Cambuur 3-4 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 60%, draw 18%, AZ Alkmaar II 23%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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