Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cambuur 3-4 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II nicked a narrow win over Cambuur 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
File this under upsets: a 66% lean on Cambuur went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Cambuur had 71% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 29%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.18 to 1.22 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cambuur.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cambuur and 1.67 for AZ Alkmaar II.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score
Cambuur 3 - 4 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 66%, draw 17%, AZ Alkmaar II 17%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.