Watford 1-1 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Sep 2024

Watford
1-1 HT 0-1
Coventry
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Watford vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.46
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.4
X/2
15%
5.88
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
13%
3.91
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Watford v Coventry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.36/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.24
+15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.1 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Watford vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Coventry
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
362 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Watford Watford 1-2 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
02.09.2023 Coventry Coventry 3-3 HT 1-1 Watford Watford İNCL
10.04.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-2 HT 0-2 Watford Watford İNCL
05.11.2022 Watford Watford 0-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
06.02.2021 Coventry Coventry 0-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
07.11.2020 Watford Watford 3-2 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL

Watford 1-1 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Watford
1-1
AWAY Coventry
1.96 xG 2.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
350 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Watford vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford and Coventry couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Watford had 51% of the ball to Coventry's 49%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.96 to 2.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Watford and 1.67 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Watford vs Coventry?

Watford 1-1 Coventry in the England - Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Watford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Watford 38%, draw 26%, Coventry 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Watford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Watford) ✓ Under 2.5
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