Astrio 4-0 Bergdalens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
26%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-14.7pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
12%
+14.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astrio EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.46/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.99
-5% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astrio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bergdalens
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Bergdalens 2-1 HT 0-0 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Astrio
4-0
AWAY Bergdalens
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Astrio vs Bergdalens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astrio swept aside Bergdalens 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Astrio as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Astrio had 71% of the ball to Bergdalens's 29%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Astrio vs Bergdalens?

Astrio 4-0 Bergdalens in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astrio vs Bergdalens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Astrio 57%, draw 17%, Bergdalens 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astrio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Astrio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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