Tokushima Vortis 3-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.24
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
17%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.00/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.16
-27% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.40 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
408 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
16.09.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-3 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
19.02.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-2 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
14.08.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-2 HT 0-2 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
10.04.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
23.10.2021 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
3-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
313 Passes 306
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis got the better of Oita Trinita 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tokushima Vortis as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 50% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 50%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.67 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita?

Tokushima Vortis 3-1 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 46%, draw 28%, Oita Trinita 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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