Vegalta Sendai 2-3 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 32% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -3%
1.47/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.88
-16% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-1 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
29.07.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
07.06.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JPK
23.04.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 3-2 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2-3
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
411 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC squeezed past Vegalta Sendai 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vegalta Sendai at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 54% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 46%, shots finished 18-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.25 for Fujieda MYFC.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Fujieda MYFC?

Vegalta Sendai 2-3 Fujieda MYFC in the Japan - J2 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 46%, draw 28%, Fujieda MYFC 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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