Fagiano Okayama 3-0 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.10/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.91
-47% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.06.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-7 HT 1-3 Ehime FC Ehime FC JPK
07.04.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
05.09.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
11.04.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
30.09.2020 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
15.07.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
3-0
AWAY Ehime FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
235 Passes 180
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama swept aside Ehime FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fagiano Okayama as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 47% of the ball to Ehime FC's 53%, shots finished 22-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ehime FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 2.00 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Ehime FC?

Fagiano Okayama 3-0 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 54%, draw 27%, Ehime FC 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
14 Sep 2024
12:00 Vegalta Sendai vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
12:30 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
13:00 Blaublitz Akita vs JEF United Analysis →
13:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita Analysis →
13:00 Montedio Yamagata vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Analysis →