Winterthur 2-3 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.55
1/2
7%
24.1
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
15%
7.46
X/2
20%
4.64
X/X
9%
4.7
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.67
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.73
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
15.3 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 2-0 HT 2-0 Sion Sion İSV
02.04.2025 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
01.12.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 Sion Sion İSV
10.08.2024 Sion Sion 2-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
06.05.2023 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
18.02.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
2-3
AWAY Sion
1.09 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
337 Passes 278
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion squeezed past Winterthur 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sion as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Winterthur had 54% of the ball to Sion's 46%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.09 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Winterthur and 1.17 for Sion.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Sion?

Winterthur 2-3 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 33%, draw 22%, Sion 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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