Luzern 1-2 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.01
1/2
6%
23.2
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
15%
6.34
X/2
13%
5.46
X/X
9%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
2/2
22%
3.18
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -22%
1.58/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.40
-3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
21.0 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Young Boys
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.71 xG 1.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
270 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.04.2025 Luzern Luzern 5-0 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
23.11.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
19.10.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
14.04.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 1-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
11.11.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 6-1 HT 3-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
1-2
AWAY Young Boys
0.57 xG 0.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
234 Passes 363
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys squeezed past Luzern 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 42%) promised a tight game; Young Boys found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Luzern had 42% of the ball to Young Boys's 58%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.57 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Luzern and 2.50 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Young Boys?

Luzern 1-2 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Luzern 37%, draw 22%, Young Boys 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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