Young Boys 2-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.55
2-3 Goals
38%
2.31
4-5 Goals
29%
2.49
6+ Goals
16%
4.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.03
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
18%
4.79
X/2
8%
10.45
X/X
9%
7.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
17.6
2/2
13%
6.66
2/X
5%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.6 — our 12% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.5pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +13%
1.96/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.64
+50% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
24.3 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Luzern
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.47 xG 1.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
287 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Luzern Luzern 5-0 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
23.11.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
19.10.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
14.04.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 1-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
11.11.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 6-1 HT 3-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.08.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
2-1
AWAY Luzern
2.03 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
275 Passes 287
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys nicked a narrow win over Luzern 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Young Boys had 49% of the ball to Luzern's 51%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.03 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Young Boys and 1.83 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Luzern?

Young Boys 2-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 50%, draw 23%, Luzern 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
15 May 2025
21:30 Servette vs Lugano Analysis →