Milan 1-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 14 Sep 2025

Milan
1-0 HT 0-0
Bologna
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Milan vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.74
Over
53%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.79
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
25%
3.84
6+
11%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.15
X/2
9%
8.99
X/X
9%
4.47
2/1 ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.52
2/X
7%
15.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Milan v Bologna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna The Market 24%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.78/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.48
+12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.3 Crosses 12.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Milan vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bologna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
363 Passes 396
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.05.2025 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTK
09.05.2025 Milan Milan 3-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
27.02.2025 Bologna Bologna 2-1 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTA
27.01.2024 Milan Milan 2-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
21.08.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-2 HT 0-2 Milan Milan İTA
15.04.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 1-1 Milan Milan İTA

Milan 1-0 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
1-0
AWAY Bologna
1.00 xG 0.18
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
286 Passes 453
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Milan vs Bologna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Milan nicked a narrow win over Bologna 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Milan had 39% of the ball to Bologna's 61%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.00 to 0.18.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Milan and 1.17 for Bologna.

Milan vs Bologna Result & Final Score

Milan 1-0 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Milan vs Bologna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Milan 53%, draw 22%, Bologna 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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