Südtirol 0-2 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Sep 2025

Südtirol
0-2 HT 0-1
Palermo
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Südtirol vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.32
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
12%
6.93
X/2
15%
4.8
X/X
9%
4.02
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
3.0
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Südtirol v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
0.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.25
-3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +77%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.7 Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Südtirol vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Palermo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
276 Passes 389
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.05.2025 Palermo Palermo 1-2 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
30.09.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 1-3 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
10.05.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
01.10.2023 Palermo Palermo 2-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
25.02.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
01.10.2022 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB

Südtirol 0-2 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
0-2
AWAY Palermo
1.12 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
211 Passes 232
65% Pass Accuracy 69%
38 Box Touches 23
33 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo saw off Südtirol 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Südtirol had 50% of the ball to Palermo's 50%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.12 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 1.33 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Palermo?

Südtirol 0-2 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 29%, draw 23%, Palermo 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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