Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.58
X/2
9%
8.19
X/X
10%
5.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.9
2/2
8%
5.81
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.69/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.81
+2% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 13.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Daegu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.07.2025 Daegu Daegu 2-3 HT 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
05.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 2-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
16.08.2024 Daegu Daegu 3-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
29.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
03.03.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
16.10.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-2
AWAY Daegu
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
411 Passes 187
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu nicked a narrow win over Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gimcheon Sangmu at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 64% of the ball to Daegu's 36%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.00 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 54%, draw 24%, Daegu 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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