HamKam 1-2 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 14 Sep 2025

HamKam
1-2 HT 1-0
Stromsgodset
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

HamKam vs Stromsgodset Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.08
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
17%
5.31
X/2
11%
6.56
X/X
9%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.65
2/2
13%
4.27
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.65 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Stromsgodset — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.32/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.73
-21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.0 Crosses 18.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

HamKam vs Stromsgodset Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.43 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
303 Passes 365
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.05.2025 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-3 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
29.09.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
21.04.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
12.11.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
23.04.2023 HamKam HamKam 2-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
22.10.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 1-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR

HamKam 1-2 Stromsgodset — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
1-2
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.15 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
326 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 36
24 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset nicked a narrow win over HamKam 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was HamKam at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, HamKam had 48% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 52%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.15 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HamKam had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HamKam and 0.50 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Stromsgodset?

HamKam 1-2 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HamKam 45%, draw 25%, Stromsgodset 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HamKam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HamKam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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