Haugesund 0-3 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
67%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
16%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
10.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
19.8
1/X
7%
19.15
X/1
5%
13.45
X/2
19%
3.94
X/X
7%
7.01
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.69
2/X
4%
16.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.8 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
15%
-0.7pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
67%
Away Win
66%
+1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 70%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.08/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/1.01
-47% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +34%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
14.5 Crosses 21.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rosenborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.51 xG 2.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 426
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 43
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
22.09.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-0 HT 2-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
21.04.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 1-3 HT 0-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
06.08.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.05.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
11.09.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 1-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
0-3
AWAY Rosenborg
0.18 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
336 Passes 474
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg swept aside Haugesund 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Haugesund had 43% of the ball to Rosenborg's 57%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.18 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Haugesund and 2.00 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Rosenborg?

Haugesund 0-3 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 15%, draw 18%, Rosenborg 67%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5
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