Alta 1-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.4pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.20/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.34
+19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.7 Crosses 17.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY One Knoxville
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.70 xG 1.41
69% Ball Possession 31%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
487 Passes 179
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.07.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 3-1 HT 1-0 Alta Alta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
1-2
AWAY One Knoxville
1.17 xG 1.62
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
616 Passes 269
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alta vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville edged past Alta 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day One Knoxville made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alta had 67% of the ball to One Knoxville's 33%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.17 to 1.62.

What was the final score of Alta vs One Knoxville?

Alta 1-2 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alta 35%, draw 27%, One Knoxville 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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