Independiente vs San Lorenzo Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Sep 2026

📅14/09/2026 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
34%
2.89
Away
21%
3.78
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
2W-4D-0L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
257 Passes 293
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2026 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
21.09.2025 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
08.03.2025 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
04.08.2024 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
02.04.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
04.06.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
PREVIEW Independiente vs San Lorenzo
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Independiente in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

One side has usually been blanked in Independiente's home league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5, and San Lorenzo's away league games have stayed low-scoring — only 0 of the last 5 cleared 2.5 goals.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente have the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente and 0.67 for San Lorenzo.

Independiente vs San Lorenzo Kick-off Time

Independiente play San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/09/2026, kick-off 01:15 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Independiente vs San Lorenzo Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Independiente vs San Lorenzo is a Independiente win at about 45% probability, priced 2.02 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Independiente 45%, draw 34%, San Lorenzo 21%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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