Irak 0-0 Ürdün — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2024

Irak
0-0 HT 0-0
Ürdün
📅14/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.45
Over 2.5
26%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.19
No
67%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
49%
2.16
2-3 Goals
34%
1.83
4-5 Goals
10%
5.98
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.16 — our 49% vs market 39.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.2pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
74%
Under 2.5
65%
+9.1pp
26%
Over 2.5
35%
-9.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.4pp
67%
BTTS No
58%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ürdün EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
0.08/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.02
-94% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / +19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 2.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Ürdün
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.86 xG 2.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
335 Passes 221
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2024 Irak Irak 2-3 HT 0-1 Ürdün Ürdün ASK
17.10.2023 Ürdün Ürdün 2-2 Irak Irak HAZ
26.03.2019 Irak Irak 3-2 HT 1-1 Ürdün Ürdün HAZ
12.01.2015 Ürdün Ürdün 0-1 HT 0-0 Irak Irak ASK
14.11.2012 Irak Irak 1-0 HT 0-0 Ürdün Ürdün DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak
0-0
AWAY Ürdün
0.39 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
265 Passes 172
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Irak vs Ürdün
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak and Ürdün fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Irak had 59% of the ball to Ürdün's 41%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.39 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Irak had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Irak and 1.40 for Ürdün.

What was the final score of Irak vs Ürdün?

Irak 0-0 Ürdün in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak vs Ürdün?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Irak 38%, draw 35%, Ürdün 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Irak) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Irak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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