Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 26% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.41
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
12%
6.25
X/2
9%
4.91
X/X
12%
4.93
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.16
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.69/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.44
+31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rochdale
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 1-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
03.02.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 1-2 HT 1-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
25.11.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
01.02.2014 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İN2
26.10.2013 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
12.01.2013 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1-0
AWAY Rochdale
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge edged past Rochdale 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Dagenham & Redbridge made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 41% of the ball to Rochdale's 59%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 1.00 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Rochdale?

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Rochdale in the England - National League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 37%, draw 28%, Rochdale 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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