St. Mirren 3-1 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 14 Dec 2025

St. Mirren
3 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Celtic
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

St. Mirren vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.4
Draw
19%
4.19
Away Pick
67%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.68
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.19
6+
6%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.15
1/2
3%
22.7
1/X
4%
20.0
X/1
6%
13.15
X/2
22%
3.9
X/X
11%
6.22
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
42%
1.8
2/X
4%
17.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

St. Mirren v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME St. Mirren The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic The Market 69%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.75 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.02
1.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.77
– Attack Strength Average
– Defense Strength Strong
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 530 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
– Crosses 22
– Yellow Cards 1

St. Mirren vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celtic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.80 xG 2.21
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
143 Passes 625
65% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 42
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.11.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
03.08.2025 Celtic Celtic 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
17.05.2025 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
01.03.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-5 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
05.01.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
25.08.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP

St. Mirren 3-1 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
3 - 1
AWAY Celtic
26% Ball Possession 74%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
124 Passes 478
61% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW St. Mirren vs Celtic
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

St. Mirren beat Celtic 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Celtic at 67% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Celtic saw more of the ball, 74% to 26%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for St. Mirren against 2.33 for Celtic.

St. Mirren vs Celtic Result & Final Score

St. Mirren 3 - 1 Celtic in the Scotland - League Cup on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

St. Mirren vs Celtic Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 14%, draw 19%, Celtic 67%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Celtic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →