Celta Vigo 2-0 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.64
Over
42%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.63
2-3
41%
1.76
4-5
18%
4.31
6+
8%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.63 — our 33% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.34
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
6.0
X/2
16%
5.5
X/X
12%
3.98
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.79
2/X
7%
13.15
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao The Market 40%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.31 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.11
0.82 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.10
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.9 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
411 Passes 338
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
22.09.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 3-1 HT 2-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
15.05.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
10.11.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 4-3 HT 2-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
20.05.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-1 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
29.01.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
2-0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.35 xG 1.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
415 Passes 427
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 21
3 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Celta Vigo got the better of Athletic Bilbao 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Celta Vigo made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (58%) landed.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 50% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 50%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 1.35 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celta Vigo and 2.00 for Athletic Bilbao.

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao Result & Final Score

Celta Vigo 2-0 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 36%, draw 27%, Athletic Bilbao 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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