Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Alaves v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid shaded a tight game against Deportivo Alaves 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.
On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Deportivo Alaves's favour, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.33 to 1.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Deportivo Alaves against 2.83 for Real Madrid.
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid Result & Final Score
Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 16%, draw 26%, Real Madrid 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.