Girona II 7-3 Castellon II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Castellon II EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.66
-69% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona II
7-3
AWAY Castellon II
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Girona II vs Castellon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona II ran out comfortable winners over Castellon II 7-3. Half-time: 6-2. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Girona II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 7-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Girona II had 59% of the ball to Castellon II's 41%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of Girona II vs Castellon II?

Girona II 7-3 Castellon II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona II vs Castellon II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Girona II 53%, draw 23%, Castellon II 24%. The final score 7-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Girona II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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