Linares Deportivo 1-2 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.76/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.19
+44% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linares Deportivo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
02.03.2025 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo 4-0 HT 1-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
20.10.2024 Xerez Deportivo 1-1 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İS4
POST-MATCH Linares Deportivo vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo squeezed past Linares Deportivo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Xerez Deportivo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Linares Deportivo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Linares Deportivo and 0.50 for Xerez Deportivo.

What was the final score of Linares Deportivo vs Xerez Deportivo?

Linares Deportivo 1-2 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linares Deportivo vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linares Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Linares Deportivo 39%, draw 25%, Xerez Deportivo 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Linares Deportivo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linares Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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