Tudelano 1-2 Basconia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tudelano EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Basconia EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.39/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.99
-19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tudelano
1-2
AWAY Basconia
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tudelano vs Basconia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basconia edged past Tudelano 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tudelano at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tudelano had 46% of the ball to Basconia's 54%, shots finished 20-15.

What was the final score of Tudelano vs Basconia?

Tudelano 1-2 Basconia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tudelano vs Basconia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tudelano win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tudelano 59%, draw 26%, Basconia 15%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tudelano) ✗ Under 2.5
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