Dender EH 1-5 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
19.85
1/X
8%
17.3
X/1
7%
11.75
X/2
20%
4.23
X/X
9%
6.79
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
1.88
2/X
6%
15.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.85 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 66%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
0.97/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.96
-36% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 83%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
16.6 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 1.92
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
307 Passes 638
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
30.11.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-1 HT 2-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
25.08.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
07.02.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
13.09.2008 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
22.03.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-5
AWAY Club Brugge
1.08 xG 3.43
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 3
257 Passes 497
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge swept aside Dender EH 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dender EH had 38% of the ball to Club Brugge's 62%, shots finished 6-23, expected goals 1.08 to 3.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dender EH and 1.83 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Club Brugge?

Dender EH 1-5 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 20%, draw 23%, Club Brugge 57%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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