Genk 1-1 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.69
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.93
X/2
10%
7.58
X/X
9%
5.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.25
2/2
15%
5.21
2/X
8%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.81/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.82
+8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
20.7 Crosses 16.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Westerlo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
404 Passes 370
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
25.01.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 0-2 Genk Genk BEL
30.08.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
17.03.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
01.10.2023 Genk Genk 3-3 HT 2-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
17.01.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 0-2 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
1-1
AWAY Westerlo
2.98 xG 0.81
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
503 Passes 199
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
48 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk and Westerlo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Genk at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Genk had 68% of the ball to Westerlo's 32%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.98 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Genk and 1.17 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Genk vs Westerlo?

Genk 1-1 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Genk 45%, draw 24%, Westerlo 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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