Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Dec 2025

Sporting Charleroi
1-1 HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
10%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.53
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
8%
7.9
X/2
15%
4.43
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.69
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Charleroi v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.29/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.16
-17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
16.1 Crosses 16.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.51 xG 1.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
349 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
11.01.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-2 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
16.08.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
10.12.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
01.10.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 HT 3-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
28.01.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL

Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.16 xG 1.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
254 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi and Union Saint-Gilloise couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Union Saint-Gilloise at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 44% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 56%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.16 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 2.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 26%, draw 26%, Union Saint-Gilloise 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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